Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5134 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

9E 5134 · DCA → CVG

departs 3:20 PM ET · arrives 4:30 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ DCA is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

CVG (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5134 · DCA → CVG

Odds over time