Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5417 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

9E 5417 · LGA → ROC

departs 10:22 PM ET · arrives 11:14 PM ET

Your aircraft is N316PQ (CRJ9), coming in as 9E 5154 from YYZ: landed 9:26 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ROC more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ 10pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ROC (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling4,800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5417 · LGA → ROC

Odds over time