Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1204SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1204 · BUF → CLT
departs 6:01 AM ET · arrives 8:01 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 47h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
11%chance · ±1 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.