AA 1330 · EWR → CLT

departs 7:27 PM ET · arrives 9:20 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft forecast at CLT that day

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility9.66667 mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1330 · EWR → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?