AA 1368 · MIA → ATL

took off 6:12 PM ET · landed 7:38 PM ET (scheduled 6:14 PM ET → 8:17 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ATL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1368 · MIA → ATL

Odds over time

How late did it get to ATL?