Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1411 IN THE AIR (OFF 2:49 PM ET, ETA 5:01 PM ET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

AA 1411 · BGR → CLT

took off 2:49 PM ET · expected to land 5:01 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts +23 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BGR that day

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BGR (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.04 in

CLT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1411 · BGR → CLT

Odds over time