Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1463 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

AA 1463 · CLT → BGR

departs 11:00 AM ET · arrives 1:28 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 52h before departure

Arrive at BGR more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BGR?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.4 mi forecast at CLT that day

↓ BGR usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into BGR at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.03 in

BGR (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1463 · CLT → BGR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BGR?