AA 1616 · MCI → CLT

took off 2:13 PM CT · landed 4:54 PM ET (scheduled 2:00 PM CT → 5:14 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CLT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1616 · MCI → CLT

Odds over time

How late did it get to CLT?