Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1658 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

AA 1658 · CLT → CHS

departs 11:10 AM ET · arrives 12:19 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 52h before departure

Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CHS?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at CHS that day

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Arrivals into CHS at that hour are usually not late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.03 in

CHS (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.39 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1658 · CLT → CHS

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHS?