AA 1746 · YYZ → CLT

departs 6:05 AM EDT · arrives 8:09 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at CLT that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YYZ

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

YYZ (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

CLT (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1746 · YYZ → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?