Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1890 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

AA 1890 · CLT → GRR

departs 8:59 AM ET · arrives 10:52 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 69h before departure

Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GRR?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ 8am departures from CLT are usually not late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.43 in

GRR (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1890 · CLT → GRR

Odds over time

How late will it get to GRR?