Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2088 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

AA 2088 · MCO → DCA

departs 10:40 AM ET · arrives 12:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 40h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.54 in

DCA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,600 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2088 · MCO → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?