Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2203 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

AA 2203 · CLT → MSY

departs 4:34 PM ET · arrives 5:41 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · 41h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±3 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at MSY that day

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at CLT that day

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precipnone

MSY (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.26 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2203 · CLT → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?