Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2212 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

AA 2212 · CLT → MYR

departs 4:19 PM ET · arrives 5:25 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 50h before departure

Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MYR?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at MYR that day

↑ 4pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MYR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

MYR (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.94 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2212 · CLT → MYR

Odds over time

How late will it get to MYR?