Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2239 LANDED 12:52 AM ET, ~4 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

AA 2239 · CLT → RIC

took off 12:10 AM ET · landed 12:52 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at RIC that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling4,400 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

RIC (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2239 · CLT → RIC

Odds over time