Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2252 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

AA 2252 · MIA → IND

departs 4:31 PM ET · arrives 6:49 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IND

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IND (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2252 · MIA → IND

Odds over time