Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2316 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

AA 2316 · PNS → CLT

departs 10:49 AM CT · arrives 1:33 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at PNS that day

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ 10am departures from PNS are usually not late

Weather at each end

PNS (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.69 in

CLT (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2316 · PNS → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?