AA 2320 · CLT → ROC

departs 4:08 PM ET · arrives 6:08 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at ROC more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ROC?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ROC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

ROC (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2320 · CLT → ROC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ROC?