AA 2390 · LGA → CLT

departs 7:27 PM ET · arrives 9:19 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

72% chance · ±0 pts +26 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
28%
15–30 min late
44%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ 7pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2390 · LGA → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?