Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2529 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

AA 2529 · CLT → SEA

departs 9:25 AM ET · arrives 12:07 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 60h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↓ Other factors

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at SEA that day

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.6 mi Precip0.16 in

SEA (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2529 · CLT → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?