Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2538SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2538 · TPA → CLT
departs 7:15 AM ET · arrives 9:07 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
11%chance · ±2 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.