Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2684 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

AA 2684 · STT → CLT

departs 1:27 PM AST · arrives 4:47 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

STT (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

CLT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2684 · STT → CLT

Odds over time