Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2873 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

AA 2873 · CLT → PDX

departs 6:28 PM ET · arrives 8:28 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts +20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2873 · CLT → PDX

Odds over time