Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2909 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

AA 2909 · CLT → VPS

departs 3:18 PM ET · arrives 4:01 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 41h before departure

Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±1 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to VPS?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.6 in of rain forecast at VPS that day

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ 3pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ VPS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

VPS (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility6.33333 mi Precip1.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2909 · CLT → VPS

Odds over time

How late will it get to VPS?