AA 2934 · CLT → SAT

departs 2:58 PM ET · arrives 5:02 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ SAT is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft forecast at CLT that day

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2934 · CLT → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?