Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3231 IN THE AIR (OFF 1:48 PM MT, ETA 8:38 PM ET)
Today

AA 3231 · PHX → DCA

took off 1:48 PM MT · expected to land 8:38 PM ET (scheduled 1:21 PM MT → 8:50 PM ET)
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
1% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Now Lands

How late will it get to DCA?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    99%
  2. 15–30 min late
    1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    <1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.