Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 361 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

AA 361 · PWM → DCA

departs 12:51 PM ET · arrives 2:44 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 66h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi forecast at PWM that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DCA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PWM (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.6 mi Precip0.04 in

DCA (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 361 · PWM → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?