Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 822 LANDED 11:44 AM ET, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Yesterday

AA 822 · MCO → CLT

took off 10:31 AM ET · landed 11:44 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at MCO that day

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling9,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 822 · MCO → CLT

Odds over time