AA 833 · MIA → UIO

took off 6:01 PM ET · landed 9:04 PM -05 (scheduled 5:46 PM ET → 8:55 PM -05)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at UIO more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to UIO?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 5pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into UIO at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

UIO (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 833 · MIA → UIO

Odds over time

How late did it get to UIO?