Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 846 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

AA 846 · CLT → BWI

departs 11:35 AM ET · arrives 1:03 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±1 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from CLT are often late

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft forecast at BWI that day

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 846 · CLT → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?