Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1533SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 1533 · JNU → SEA
departs 7:00 AM AKDT · arrives 10:29 AM PT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 37h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
20%chance · ±0 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.