Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 555SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 555 · SEA → MSP
departs 8:35 AM PT · arrives 1:57 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 50h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
16%chance · ±0 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.