AS 586 · FAI → ANC

took off 9:46 AM AKT · landed 10:29 AM AKT (scheduled 9:45 AM AKT → 10:57 AM AKT)

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ANC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at ANC that day

↓ 9am departures from FAI are usually not late

↓ Arrivals into ANC at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

FAI (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

ANC (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 586 · FAI → ANC

Odds over time

How late did it get to ANC?