Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 64 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

AS 64 · JNU → PSG

departs 1:07 PM AKDT · arrives 1:52 PM AKDT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 34h before departure

Arrive at PSG more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PSG?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at JNU that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at PSG that day

↑ Other factors

↓ JNU usually runs smoothly

↓ PSG usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

JNU (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility4.66667 mi Precip0.92 in

PSG (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.98 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 64 · JNU → PSG

Odds over time

How late will it get to PSG?