Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1854
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
B6 1854 · DCA → BOS
departs 7:59 PM ET · arrives 9:38 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 40%
Fri 10/9 31%
Sat 10/10 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±4 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at DCA that day
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 25 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.