Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CARIBBEAN AIRLINES · FLIGHT BW 483 LANDED 6:40 PM AST, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

BW 483 · MIA → POS

took off 3:17 PM ET · landed 6:40 PM AST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at POS more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ MIA is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at POS

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

POS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

BW 483 · MIA → POS

Odds over time