DL 1762 · TPA → LGA

departs 6:42 PM ET · arrives 9:19 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from TPA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,486 ft forecast at LGA that day

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

LGA (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,533 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1762 · TPA → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?