Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1762
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
DL 1762 · TPA → LGA
departs 6:34 PM ET · arrives 9:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 65%
Mon 10/5 50%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 39%
Thu 10/8 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±4 pts
−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.3d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at TPA that day
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.56 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.