Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1868
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
DL 1868 · ATL → TLH
departs 3:38 PM ET · arrives 4:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 37%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 13%
Thu 10/8 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at TLH more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TLH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at TLH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TLH?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.1 in of rain forecast at TLH that day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
3pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.67 in
TLH (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.49 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.