DL 2910 · IND → MSP

departs 4:33 PM ET · arrives 5:23 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 4pm departures from IND are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IND

Weather at each end

IND (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2910 · IND → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?