DL 8861 · CLT → DTW

departs 1:27 AM ET · arrives 3:09 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 8861 · CLT → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?