Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1741
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
F9 1741 · RDU → IAH
departs 10:20 AM ET · arrives 12:19 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5
Thu 10/8 27%
Fri 10/9 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↓
10am departures from RDU are usually not late
Weather at each end
RDU (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 233 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.