Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2215
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
F9 2215 · SJU → TPA
departs 5:22 PM AT · arrives 8:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 38%
Sat 10/10 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SJU is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.