Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3782
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
F9 3782 · ATL → TPA
departs 10:03 AM ET · arrives 11:40 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 19%
Wed 10/7 15%
Thu 10/8 18%
Fri 10/9 25%
Sat 10/10 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at ATL that day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into TPA at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.10 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.