Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ICELANDAIR · FLIGHT FI 656 IN THE AIR (OFF 7:41 PM CT, ETA 6:17 AM GMT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

FI 656 · MSP → KEF

took off 7:41 PM CT · expected to land 6:17 AM GMT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at KEF more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from MSP are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

KEF (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

FI 656 · MSP → KEF

Odds over time