Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

EL AL · FLIGHT LY 18 IN THE AIR (OFF 12:08 PM ET, ETA 6:05 AM IDT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

LY 18 · MIA → TLV

took off 12:08 PM ET · expected to land 6:05 AM IDT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at TLV more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ MIA is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TLV (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

LY 18 · MIA → TLV

Odds over time