Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3422
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
MQ 3422 · CLT → GSP
departs 6:00 PM ET · arrives 7:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 36%
Sun 10/4 42%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at GSP more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at GSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GSP?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from CLT are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into GSP at that hour are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.4 mi forecast at CLT that day
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.4 mi Precip 0.03 in
GSP (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.