MQ 3672 · JAX → MIA

departs 2:02 PM ET · arrives 3:32 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at JAX that day

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from JAX are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ JAX usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

JAX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.83 in

MIA (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3672 · JAX → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?