Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3756 LANDED 8:16 PM CST, ~19 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

MQ 3756 · MIA → MTY

took off 7:14 PM ET · landed 8:16 PM CST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at MTY more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Other factors

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MTY usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MTY (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3756 · MIA → MTY

Odds over time