MQ 4067 · BGR → DCA

departs 5:11 PM ET · arrives 7:15 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at DCA that day

Weather at each end

BGR (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.04 in

DCA (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4067 · BGR → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?